The Winners
India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi Trump’s return is a positive development for Modi, who has enjoyed a strong relationship with the former US president. This alliance is expected to continue benefiting India, with a focus on strong bilateral ties aligning with Trump’s policies ยน.
Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman: Trump’s return offers an opportunity for Saudi Arabia to revive efforts for a long-awaited security pact with the US. A potential peace deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia could pave the way for US security support.
Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: Netanyahu is expected to welcome Trump’s return, given their history of cooperation. Trump is likely to reinforce US support for Israel, sympathizing with Netanyahu’s stance on Iranian proxies and Palestinian statehood.
Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni: Meloni’s close ties with Elon Musk may give her influence with the new US president, positioning her as a bridge between NATO, the EU, and the White House.
The Losers
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky: Trump’s return raises concerns in Kyiv, as Ukraine fears reduced financial and military support. Trump may push for land concessions in peace talks with Russia.
Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian: Trump’s presidency closes the door to diplomacy on Iran’s nuclear program, potentially further isolating the country through tightened US sanctions.
China’s President Xi Jinping: Trump’s victory threatens China’s economy with a 60% blanket tariff on Chinese goods. However, Elon Musk’s strong business ties with China may provide some leverage.Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba: Trump’s criticism of Japan’s trade surplus and military presence may lead to increased pressure on Japan.
The Wildcards
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin: Trump’s return offers opportunities for Russia to exploit Western divisions, but his unpredictability raises concerns about potential nuclear confrontation.
Argentina’s President Milei: Trump’s return may help Argentina secure a better deal at the International Monetary Fund, particularly with Elon Musk’s influence.
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